Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1351.837645 1540.670139 1751.565849 2005.507379 2304.229016 2645.968976 3068.658982
2025-08-24 1074.971730 1324.345767 1630.038438 2036.349920 2568.256600 3249.318568 4201.064707
2025-08-31 921.322659 1193.473226 1547.994908 2051.453737 2760.859242 3744.602365 5247.763789
2025-09-07 823.148644 1110.049094 1502.617312 2091.363061 2973.873485 4284.459625 6451.139162
2025-09-14 718.360439 999.566519 1399.483984 2025.907771 3013.151564 4564.563932 7305.633313
2025-09-21 636.140760 909.169866 1310.558349 1963.544884 3039.191103 4817.421331 8156.030314
2025-09-28 566.381723 828.330537 1224.648223 1891.099187 3032.779620 5008.084942 8928.480395
2025-10-05 539.587845 809.099042 1229.824985 1963.620685 3276.792504 5668.847438 10729.908516
2025-10-12 508.056780 778.637951 1212.821667 1995.051111 3450.978002 6230.593762 12471.778815
2025-10-19 477.437919 746.295640 1188.633354 2009.604281 3594.295364 6756.163496 14270.574967
2025-10-26 449.923979 716.274694 1164.809294 2020.867271 3731.390870 7292.112257 16237.589085
2025-11-02 433.533694 703.352402 1168.838460 2083.616583 3979.515524 8109.433890 19132.115964
2025-11-09 415.569843 686.742348 1165.759744 2134.716564 4217.505494 8967.669774 22461.039838
2025-11-16 396.194038 665.994012 1153.193384 2165.784622 4418.968375 9789.420126 26003.942265
2025-11-23 376.838324 643.473521 1134.839118 2182.173937 4589.623203 10573.489699 29738.573019
2025-11-30 362.374539 628.652023 1129.565212 2225.108200 4829.143026 11591.174449 34650.647395
2025-12-07 336.600069 590.495552 1075.125244 2154.683087 4783.202952 11829.182180 36995.360452
2025-12-14 313.555247 555.866694 1024.773955 2087.613143 4735.450830 12053.448039 39397.630849
2025-12-21 291.416590 521.470858 972.150050 2009.735387 4648.781957 12148.434614 41363.207251
2025-12-28 286.132264 519.685725 986.260527 2087.694651 4984.678765 13600.911356 49571.629090
2026-01-04 277.020070 509.559621 981.957758 2121.493863 5207.434628 14761.272020 57204.906976
2026-01-11 266.939285 496.727951 970.745117 2137.146285 5382.501176 15815.057886 64997.538693
2026-01-18 257.246978 484.003684 958.676392 2149.261059 5550.033722 16892.952399 73630.333634